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RAOSCAFF

The Record

Every lock. Every score. Every country.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.

Forecasts locked345every lock · click to resetResolved hit rate93.75%75 hit · 5 miss · 265 pendingMost recent resolutionHitP-167 · 1 Sep 2026 · open →Next criterion due18 Sep 2026P-119 · Bank of England September 2026 decision · open →

Showing 14 of 345 ·January 2027 ×Clear all

January 202714 locks resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in January 2027
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-109LA Rams 2026 NFL playoffsLA Rams qualify for the 2026 NFL playoffs — ~0.82United States4 Jan 2027locked 25 Jun 2026Locked
P-85Brent 2026 annual average2026 Brent calendar-year average ≥ $85/bbl (EIA) — ~0.78not yet tagged15 Jan 2027locked 24 Jun 2026Locked
P-86Henry Hub 2026 annual average2026 Henry Hub calendar-year average ≤ $4.25/MMBtu (EIA) — ~0.90United States15 Jan 2027locked 24 Jun 2026Locked
P-115Airbus out-delivers Boeing 2026Airbus delivers more commercial aircraft than Boeing in 2026 — ~0.94FranceUnited States15 Jan 2027locked 25 Jun 2026Locked
P-259Canadian National FY2026 adjusted diluted EPS growthCN FY2026 ADJUSTED DILUTED EPS growth >= 3.0% (guidance raised to mid-to-high single digits; 3 EPS measures exist — adjusted diluted is the guided one) — ~0.92Canada26 Jan 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-235ASML FY2026 total net salesASML FY2026 TOTAL NET SALES >= EUR 40bn (the TOP of the OLD guidance range, not the floor of the raised EUR 43-45bn) — ~0.91NetherlandsTaiwan27 Jan 2027locked 29 Aug 2026Locked
P-253SAP FY2026 cloud revenueSAP FY2026 CLOUD REVENUE at CONSTANT CURRENCIES >= EUR 25.0bn (guidance EUR 25.8-26.2bn cc; backlog EUR 22.9bn) — ~0.92Germany27 Jan 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-236LVMH FY2026 revenueLVMH FY2026 reported group REVENUE >= EUR 76bn (seasonality-anchored; LVMH issues no revenue guidance) — ~0.92France28 Jan 2027locked 29 Aug 2026Locked
P-258Roche FY2026 sales growthRoche FY2026 GROUP sales growth >= 3% AT CONSTANT EXCHANGE RATES (H1 +6% CER vs -2% CHF — opposite signs; level conflict so the RATE is locked) — ~0.92Switzerland28 Jan 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-271KONE FY2026 adjusted EBIT marginKONE FY2026 ADJUSTED EBIT MARGIN >= 11.8% (guidance 12.3-13% unchanged; threshold = the margin H1 already delivered) — ~0.91Finland28 Jan 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-265Teva FY2026 revenueTeva FY2026 consolidated REVENUE >= USD 16.0bn (guidance raised to USD 16.5-16.8bn; total revenue, NOT the separately-guided product lines) — ~0.92Israel29 Jan 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-79UnitedHealth FY2026 adjusted EPSFY2026 adjusted EPS ≥ $18.25 (guide floor) — calibrated ~0.82United States31 Jan 2027locked 23 Jun 2026Locked
P-872026 top-3 warmest year2026 ranks top-3 warmest year on record (Copernicus C3S) — ~0.93not yet tagged31 Jan 2027locked 24 Jun 2026Locked
P-99Toyota best-selling automaker 2026Toyota = world's best-selling automaker for calendar 2026 — ~0.93Japan31 Jan 2027locked 25 Jun 2026Locked

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