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RAOSCAFF

The Record

Every lock. Every score. Every country.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.

Forecasts locked345every lock · click to resetResolved hit rate93.75%75 hit · 5 miss · 265 pendingMost recent resolutionHitP-167 · 1 Sep 2026 · open →Next criterion due18 Sep 2026P-119 · Bank of England September 2026 decision · open →

Showing 20 of 345 ·Awaiting resolution ×Not yet tagged ×Clear all

September 20262 locks resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in September 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-112ECB September 2026 decisionECB does not cut (deposit rate ≥2.25%) at Sept 10 meeting — ~0.94not yet tagged10 Sep 2026locked 25 Jun 2026Locked
P-49Canelo vs MbilliCanelo beats Mbilli (US ET card date) — calibrated ~0.72not yet tagged12 Sep 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Locked

October 20262 locks resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in October 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-145Euro area September 2026 inflationEuro-area Sept 2026 flash HICP ≤3.5% YoY — ~0.93not yet tagged1 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-105Copper end-October 2026LME copper closes end-Oct 2026 ≥ $9,000/t — ~0.92not yet tagged30 Oct 2026locked 25 Jun 2026Locked

November 20261 lock resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in November 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-25GTA VI release dateGTA VI ships Nov 19 2026, no further delay — ~0.72not yet tagged19 Nov 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Locked

December 202612 locks resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in December 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-157European TTF gas 1 Dec 2026TTF front-month gas settles ≤€100/MWh on 1 Dec 2026 — ~0.92not yet tagged1 Dec 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-182Uranium spot 1 Dec 2026Uranium spot ≤US$130/lb U3O8 on 1 Dec 2026 (spot, not long-term contract) — ~0.92not yet tagged1 Dec 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-199Arabica coffee 1 Dec 2026ICE Arabica Coffee C settles ≤500c/lb on 1 Dec 2026 (~16% above the 52-week high) — ~0.92not yet tagged1 Dec 2026locked 21 Aug 2026Locked
P-20F1 2026 Drivers' title (rest-of-season simulation)Antonelli ~70% champion — 40k-run Monte-Carlo (model 81% / market 61%, disclosed)not yet tagged15 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Locked
P-28Strategy (MSTR) 1M-BTC targetMSTR holds < 1,000,000 BTC at year-end — ~0.90not yet tagged31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Locked
P-29Bitcoin year-end 2026BTC CME BRR settles < $90,000 on Dec 31 — ~0.85not yet tagged31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Locked
P-61Stablecoin market capTotal stablecoin market cap > $340B at year-end — ~0.82not yet tagged31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Locked
P-62USDT #1 stablecoinUSDT is the #1 stablecoin by market cap at year-end — ~0.98not yet tagged31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Locked
P-63No private-fusion Q>1 in 2026No verified private-fusion scientific Q>1 in 2026 — ~0.96not yet tagged31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Locked
P-83Gold year-end 2026Gold closes 2026 ≥ $3,500/oz (structural floor) — ~0.95not yet tagged31 Dec 2026locked 24 Jun 2026Locked
P-111FIDE World Chess Championship 2026FIDE WCC 2026 match begins by Dec 31, 2026 — ~0.80not yet tagged31 Dec 2026locked 25 Jun 2026Locked
P-197Silver year-end 2026Silver spot ≥US$38/oz at final 2026 close (floor sized to the 2011 -47% precedent) — ~0.90not yet tagged31 Dec 2026locked 21 Aug 2026Locked

January 20272 locks resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in January 2027
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-85Brent 2026 annual average2026 Brent calendar-year average ≥ $85/bbl (EIA) — ~0.78not yet tagged15 Jan 2027locked 24 Jun 2026Locked
P-872026 top-3 warmest year2026 ranks top-3 warmest year on record (Copernicus C3S) — ~0.93not yet tagged31 Jan 2027locked 24 Jun 2026Locked

February 20271 lock resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in February 2027
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-30Hyperscaler 2026 capexMSFT+GOOGL+AMZN+META CY2026 capex ≥ $600B — ~0.95not yet tagged15 Feb 2027locked 21 Jun 2026Locked

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