The Record
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Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 13 of 345 ·Next 30 days ×October 2026 ×Clear all
October 202613 locks resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-141 | Accenture FQ4 FY26 revenueAccenture FQ4 FY26 revenue ≥ $17.75bn (low end of guide) — ~0.90Ireland | 1 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-145 | Euro area September 2026 inflationEuro-area Sept 2026 flash HICP ≤3.5% YoY — ~0.93not yet tagged | 1 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-220 | Bajaj Finance Q2 FY2027 AUMBajaj Finance Q2 FY27 consolidated AUM ≥₹5.6 lakh crore (vs ₹5,46,944cr at Q1) — ~0.94India | 3 Oct 2026locked 27 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-59 | Brazil 2026 — runoffNo first-round 50%+ → Oct 25 runoff — calibrated ~0.88Brazil | 4 Oct 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-162 | Mexico September 2026 inflationMexico Sept 2026 headline inflation ≤4.5% YoY (vs 3.12% July) — ~0.93Mexico | 8 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-189 | Tesco H1 2026/27 group salesTesco H1 2026/27 group sales ≥£32.5bn (£16.83bn booked in Q1) — ~0.93United Kingdom | 8 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-263 | Ericsson Q3 2026 Networks adjusted gross marginEricsson Q3 2026 NETWORKS segment ADJUSTED gross margin >= 47.0% (guidance 48-50%; NOT group gross margin, 2pts lower in Q2) — ~0.91Sweden | 14 Oct 2026locked 2 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-154 | Prologis Q3 2026 core FFOPrologis Q3 2026 core FFO ≥$1.45/diluted share (~11% below Q2) — ~0.92United States | 15 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-221 | ICICI Lombard Q2 FY2027 GDPIICICI Lombard Q2 FY27 GDPI ≥₹7,500cr (premium not profit; GDPI not GPW) — ~0.93India | 15 Oct 2026locked 27 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-240 | TSMC Q3 2026 revenueTSMC Q3 2026 consolidated REVENUE >= USD 43.0bn (guidance USD 44.6-45.8bn; correlated pair with P-235, disclosed) — ~0.93NetherlandsTaiwan | 15 Oct 2026locked 29 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-200 | SLB Q3 2026 revenueSLB Q3 2026 total revenue ≥$8.5bn (vs $8.97bn in Q2; guidance is sequential growth) — ~0.93United States | 16 Oct 2026locked 21 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-325 | Wipro Q2 FY2027 IT SERVICES revenueWipro Q2 FY2027 IT SERVICES revenue >= US$2.50bn (guidance US$2.574-2.627bn, a ONE-QUARTER-AHEAD absolute dollar range; contrast P-319 HCLTech's full-year % guide) — ~0.93India | 16 Oct 2026locked 3 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-89 | China Q3 2026 GDPChina official Q3 2026 GDP ≥4.5% YoY — ~0.92China | 18 Oct 2026locked 24 Jun 2026 | Locked |