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RAOSCAFF

The Record

Every lock. Every score. Every country.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.

Forecasts locked360every lock · click to resetResolved hit rate92.95%145 hit · 11 miss · 204 pendingMost recent resolutionHitP-78 · 29 Oct 2026 · open →Next criterion due5 Nov 2026P-164 · Maersk Q3 2026 underlying EBITDA · open →

Showing 204 of 360 ·Awaiting resolution ×Clear all

February 202733 locks resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in February 2027
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-260DBS FY2026 total incomeDBS FY2026 GROUP TOTAL INCOME > FY2025 (relative comparison — the 2025 base could not be independently verified, so no threshold was invented) — ~0.90Singapore10 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-251ArcelorMittal FY2026 iron ore shipmentsArcelorMittal FY2026 IRON ORE shipments >= 17.0 Mt (guidance maintained 18 Mt; mining leg, explicitly NOT a steel call) — ~0.90Luxembourg11 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-252Unilever FY2026 underlying sales growthUnilever FY2026 UNDERLYING sales growth >= 3.5% (guided within 4-6%; H1 4.8% with 4.2pts volume) — ~0.92United Kingdom11 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-266Adyen FY2026 net revenue growthAdyen FY2026 NET REVENUE growth >= 18% AT CONSTANT CURRENCY (guidance 21-23% cc; H1 +19% reported vs +21% cc) — ~0.91Netherlands11 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-278RELX FY2026 profit growth vs revenue growthRELX FY2026 UNDERLYING adjusted operating profit growth EXCEEDS underlying revenue growth (relative lock — RELX guided a relationship, not a number) — ~0.93United Kingdom11 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-303Enbridge FY2026 adjusted EBITDAEnbridge FY2026 ADJUSTED EBITDA >= C$19.6bn (guidance C$20.2-20.8bn reaffirmed; C$41bn secured backlog; tolls on volume not the oil price) — ~0.93Canada12 Feb 2027locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-30Hyperscaler 2026 capexMSFT+GOOGL+AMZN+META CY2026 capex ≥ $600B — ~0.95not yet tagged15 Feb 2027locked 21 Jun 2026Locked
P-31OpenAI revenue run-rateAnnualized run-rate ≥ $30B at end-2026 — ~0.88United States15 Feb 2027locked 21 Jun 2026Locked
P-64DraftKings FY2026 revenueFY2026 revenue inside $6.5–6.9B guidance band — ~0.85United States15 Feb 2027locked 21 Jun 2026Locked
P-262América Móvil FY2026 capital expenditureAmérica Móvil FY2026 CAPITAL EXPENDITURE >= USD 6.3bn (guidance ~USD 7bn; capex locked because Q2 EBITDA growth was published 3 ways) — ~0.90BrazilMexico16 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-268Carrefour FY2026 net free cash flowCarrefour FY2026 GROUP NET FREE CASH FLOW >= EUR 1,450m (floor set BELOW the 2025 base of EUR 1,565m — H1 was NEGATIVE EUR 1.99bn) — ~0.90France17 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-269Woodside FY2026 productionWoodside FY2026 group PRODUCTION >= 170 MMboe (guidance 174-185 reaffirmed; H1 86.5; a source discrepancy is disclosed and non-decisive) — ~0.92Australia17 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-248Nestlé FY2026 organic sales growthNestlé FY2026 ORGANIC sales growth >= 2.5% (guidance 3-4%; organic = RIG + pricing, NOT reported sales) — ~0.91Switzerland18 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-277Schneider Electric FY2026 organic revenue growthSchneider Electric FY2026 ORGANIC revenue growth >= 8.5% (guidance raised to 10-13% from 7-10%; threshold sits between the two floors) — ~0.92France18 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-280Zurich Insurance FY2026 business operating profitZurich FY2026 GROUP business operating profit >= USD 9.0bn (record H1 USD 4.8bn; FY2025 USD 8.9bn; buffer sized for hurricane season) — ~0.91Switzerland18 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-322Vale 2026 iron ore PRODUCTIONVale calendar-2026 iron ore PRODUCTION >= 320 Mt (guidance 335-345 Mt maintained with 2 quarters banked; NOT sales, NOT pellets; cost guidance RAISED to US$58-62/t) — ~0.93Brazil18 Feb 2027locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-274Safran FY2026 recurring operating incomeSafran FY2026 RECURRING OPERATING INCOME >= EUR 6.2bn (guidance raised to ~EUR 6.5bn; H1 EUR 3,237m +29%) — ~0.92France19 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-279Iberdrola FY2026 adjusted net profit growthIberdrola FY2026 ADJUSTED net profit growth >= 5% (guidance comfortably above 8%; H1 reported +22% vs adjusted +8% — widest gap locked against) — ~0.91Spain24 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-285Danone FY2026 like-for-like sales growthDanone FY2026 LIKE-FOR-LIKE sales growth >= 2.5% (guidance +3-5% confirmed; H1 3.5%, Q2 4.2%; growth split 1.7% volume / 1.8% price) — ~0.92France24 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-345CP All 7-Eleven THAILAND store count at 31 Dec 2026CP All 7-ELEVEN THAILAND net store count at 31 Dec 2026 >= 16,500 (16,284 at 30 Jun 2026 from 15,945 at end-2025; ~700 openings targeted — locked at a 40% shortfall to plan) — ~0.92Thailand24 Feb 2027locked 4 Sep 2026Locked
P-217AXA FY2026 underlying EPS growthAXA FY2026 underlying EPS growth ≥6% (reported outcome, not guidance restatement) — ~0.91France25 Feb 2027locked 26 Aug 2026Locked
P-250Petrobras FY2026 oil productionPetrobras FY2026 average OIL production >= 2.45 million bpd (NOT oil-and-gas on a boe basis; Q2 record 2.7 mmbpd) — ~0.91Brazil25 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-272Bank Central Asia FY2026 net profitBCA FY2026 CONSOLIDATED NET PROFIT >= IDR 56tn (H1 IDR 29.5tn; loan-book sources conflict IDR 1,036 vs 1,082tn so profit is locked) — ~0.91Indonesia25 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-273LSEG FY2026 organic revenue growthLSEG FY2026 TOTAL ORGANIC revenue growth >= 6.0% at CONSTANT CURRENCY (guidance 7.0-7.5%; NOT subscription growth, guided ~6.5%, which straddles this floor) — ~0.92United Kingdom25 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-293Summerset FY2026 group home deliveriesSummerset FY2026 GROUP home deliveries >= 650 incl. Australia (guidance 700-800; NZ-only guidance CUT by 50 to 600-650 — the criterion names GROUP) — ~0.91New Zealand25 Feb 2027locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-347Scales Corporation FY2026 UNDERLYING NPATASScales Corporation FY2026 UNDERLYING NPATAS >= NZ$54m (guidance raised to NZ$55-60m; NZ$52.0m banked in 1H26, so H2 needs only NZ$2.0m) — ~0.91New Zealand25 Feb 2027locked 5 Nov 2026Locked
P-356LATAM Airlines 2026 TOTAL ASK growthLATAM Airlines 2026 TOTAL ASK GROWTH >= 7.5% (guidance CUT 3 Nov to 8.5-9.5%; 9M +8.9%, 3Q +7.7%; capacity, not fuel-driven EBITDA) — ~0.91Chile25 Feb 2027locked 5 Nov 2026Locked
P-270BASF FY2026 EBITDA before special itemsBASF FY2026 EBITDA BEFORE SPECIAL ITEMS >= EUR 6.6bn (guidance raised to EUR 6.9-7.7bn; prior-guidance anchor consciously OVERRIDDEN, see brief) — ~0.94Germany26 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-284Amadeus FY2026 revenueAmadeus FY2026 group REVENUE >= EUR 6.4bn (LEVEL-anchored off banked H1 EUR 3,334.9m; the trimmed outlook range could not be verified and is NOT the anchor) — ~0.91Spain26 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-286Veolia FY2026 organic EBITDA growthVeolia FY2026 ORGANIC EBITDA growth >= 4.0% (guidance MAINTAINED 5-6% while net income guidance was RAISED to >=8% — we anchored on the one that held) — ~0.92France26 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-346Channel Infrastructure FY2026 EBITDAChannel Infrastructure FY2026 EBITDA >= NZ$100m (guidance NZ$103-108m, raised twice in 2026; H1 banked NZ$48.8m so H2 needs NZ$51.2m; US$5.95m asset sale is the basis trap) — ~0.91New Zealand26 Feb 2027locked 5 Nov 2026Locked
P-357UCB 2026 REVENUE GROWTH at CERUCB 2026 REVENUE GROWTH at CER >= 9.0% (raised guide: low-to-mid teens at CER; H1 +27% CER; reported ran 5pts below CER) — ~0.90Belgium26 Feb 2027locked 5 Nov 2026Locked
P-32TKO Group FY2026 revenueFY2026 total revenue ≥ $5.60B (floor) — ~0.90United States28 Feb 2027locked 21 Jun 2026Locked

March 20275 locks resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in March 2027
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-257Saudi Aramco FY2026 capital expenditureSaudi Aramco FY2026 CAPITAL EXPENDITURE >= USD 48bn (guidance unchanged USD 50-55bn; H1 USD 25.1bn) — ~0.91Saudi Arabia9 Mar 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-275adidas FY2026 operating profitadidas FY2026 OPERATING PROFIT >= EUR 2.10bn (guidance ~EUR 2.3bn; ~9% buffer for EUR 212m committed World Cup marketing) — ~0.90Germany10 Mar 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-291Bayer FY2026 salesBayer FY2026 SALES >= EUR 43.0bn CURRENCY-ADJUSTED (guidance EUR 44.7-47bn affirmed; H1 loads the year on planting seasons) — ~0.91Germany10 Mar 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-338Standard Bank Group 2026 HEADLINE EARNINGSStandard Bank Group calendar-2026 HEADLINE EARNINGS >= R48bn (H1 record R26.1bn, ROE 19.8%; headline earnings is a JSE-DEFINED measure, NOT IFRS profit; 2028 targets excluded) — ~0.93South Africa11 Mar 2027locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-229Enel FY2026 ordinary EBITDAEnel FY2026 ORDINARY EBITDA ≥ EUR 22.5bn (guidance EUR 23.1-23.6bn; H1 EUR 11.8bn) — ~0.92Italy18 Mar 2027locked 29 Aug 2026Locked

April 20272 locks resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in April 2027
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-351Hindustan Zinc FY2027 MINED METAL productionHindustan Zinc FY2027 MINED METAL >= 1,100 kt (guidance 1,150 kt ±10; H1 a record 539 kt; MINED not refined; tonnes, not the zinc price) — ~0.91India5 Apr 2027locked 5 Nov 2026Locked
P-352Jubilant FoodWorks DOMINO'S INDIA store count at 31 Mar 2027Jubilant FoodWorks DOMINO'S INDIA net stores at 31 Mar 2027 >= 2,670 (2,455 at FY26 end, 2,601 at 30 Sep; needs 69 net in H2; group total excluded) — ~0.91India7 Apr 2027locked 5 Nov 2026Locked

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