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RAOSCAFF

The Prediction Series

Every lock, and every score.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known, and scored against that exact criterion afterwards — never against a directional impression. Misses are published in full.

345 locks · 80 resolved · 93.75% hit rate · the running scoreboard →

— Awaiting resolution

61–120 of 265

RAOSCAFF prediction locks, criterion not yet testable
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-232Dr Reddy's Q2 FY2027 revenue from operationsDr Reddy's Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED revenue from operations ≥ Rs 7,400 crore (LEVEL locked — sources conflict on the YoY rate) — ~0.9324 Oct 2026locked 29 Aug 2026Locked
P-150Chubb Q3 2026 combined ratioChubb Q3 2026 P&C combined ratio ≤95% (vs 83.8% in Q2) — ~0.9027 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-158Royal Caribbean Q3 2026 adj EPSRoyal Caribbean Q3 2026 adjusted EPS ≥$5.00 (peak quarter; Q2 was $4.21) — ~0.9327 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-171WM Q3 2026 adjusted EBITDAWM Q3 2026 adjusted operating EBITDA ≥$1.95bn (vs $2.067bn in Q2) — ~0.9327 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-188First Solar Q3 2026 module salesFirst Solar Q3 2026 module sales ≥3.5GW (~10% below its own guide) — ~0.9227 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-209Reckitt FY2026 Core LFL floorReckitt keeps FY2026 Core LFL guidance floor ≥4% at Q3 (Core, not group LFL) — ~0.8827 Oct 2026locked 26 Aug 2026Locked
P-219HSBC 9M 2026 revenueHSBC 9M 2026 constant-currency revenue ex-notables ≥$54bn ($38.2bn booked in H1) — ~0.9327 Oct 2026locked 27 Aug 2026Locked
P-256POSCO Q3 2026 crude steel productionPOSCO Q3 2026 CRUDE STEEL PRODUCTION >= 8.4 Mt (Q2 8,884kt at 89.5% util; NOT product sales volume, 527kt lower) — ~0.9127 Oct 2026locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-148UPS Q3 2026 consolidated revenueUPS Q3 2026 consolidated revenue ≥$21.0bn (~8% below Q2) — ~0.9328 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-156Australia Sept-quarter 2026 CPIAustralia Sept-qtr 2026 headline CPI ≤4.5% YoY (vs 3.8% June qtr) — ~0.9128 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-191PayPal Q3 2026 payment volumePayPal Q3 2026 total payment volume ≥$460bn (vs $486.4bn in Q2) — ~0.9328 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-239Visa fiscal Q4 2026 net revenueVisa fiscal Q4 2026 NET REVENUE (after client incentives) >= USD 11.0bn — ~0.9428 Oct 2026locked 29 Aug 2026Locked
P-78Eli Lilly incretin franchise Q3 2026Mounjaro + Zepbound worldwide Q3 2026 revenue > $14.0B — ~0.8829 Oct 2026locked 23 Jun 2026Locked
P-173S&P Global Q3 2026 adj EPSS&P Global Q3 2026 adjusted EPS ≥$3.80 (vs $4.08 in Q2, which missed consensus) — ~0.9229 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-174Linde Q3 2026 adj EPSLinde Q3 2026 adjusted EPS ≥$4.20 (vs $4.50 in Q2) — ~0.9329 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-190Universal Music Q3 2026 revenueUniversal Music Q3 2026 total revenue ≥€3.0bn (vs €3.294bn in Q2) — ~0.9329 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-192Newmont Q3 2026 gold productionNewmont Q3 2026 attributable gold production ≥1.20M oz (vs 1.3M in Q2) — ~0.9229 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-105Copper end-October 2026LME copper closes end-Oct 2026 ≥ $9,000/t — ~0.9230 Oct 2026locked 25 Jun 2026Locked
P-231Holcim nine-month 2026 net salesHolcim 9M 2026 group NET SALES ≥ CHF 11.5bn (H1 CHF 7.9bn; FY guidance upgraded) — ~0.9330 Oct 2026locked 29 Aug 2026Locked
P-298Maruti Suzuki Q2 FY2027 sales volumesMaruti Suzuki Q2 FY2027 TOTAL SALES VOLUMES >= 620,000 units (Q1 682,724; rupee revenue AND profit both conflict across sources so VOLUMES are locked) — ~0.9130 Oct 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-314Samsung DS Division Q3 2026 operating profitSamsung DS Division Q3 2026 operating profit >= KRW 60tn (Q2 DS KRW 89.2tn of a GROUP KRW 89.5tn — the mobile unit LOST KRW 0.7tn; calibration correction to P-106) — ~0.9130 Oct 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-73BitMine ETH treasuryBitMine disclosed ETH holdings ≥ 6,000,000 by Oct 31 — ~0.9031 Oct 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Locked
P-210AIA Q3 2026 year-to-date VONBAIA year-to-date VONB ≥US$4.4bn at Q3 2026 (VONB, not annualised new premium) — ~0.9231 Oct 2026locked 26 Aug 2026Locked
P-163South Korea October 2026 exportsSouth Korea Oct 2026 exports ≥US$70bn (level, not the base-effect growth rate) — ~0.931 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-172India October 2026 GSTIndia Oct 2026 gross GST ≥₹1.90 lakh crore (gross, not net of refunds) — ~0.931 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-223Muthoot Q2 FY2027 loan AUMMuthoot Q2 FY27 consolidated TOTAL loan AUM ≥₹1.95 lakh crore (not gold-only, not standalone) — ~0.941 Nov 2026locked 27 Aug 2026Locked
P-60ARC Prize 2026 Grand Prize2026 ARC Prize Grand Prize unclaimed (ARC-AGI-2) — ~0.822 Nov 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Locked
P-194Indonesia October 2026 CPIIndonesia Oct 2026 headline annual CPI ≤4.0% (vs 2.88% July) — ~0.932 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-24US 2026 midterms — SenateRepublicans retain the Senate — calibrated ~0.543 Nov 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Locked
P-44US House 2026 — DemocratsDemocrats win US House majority (≥218) — calibrated ~0.763 Nov 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Locked
P-169Marriott Q3 2026 RevPARMarriott Q3 2026 worldwide RevPAR growth ≥+1.0% (vs +3.4% in Q2) — ~0.913 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-180Ryanair H1 FY2027 trafficRyanair H1 FY27 traffic ≥110M passengers (guided metric; profit guidance withdrawn) — ~0.933 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-183Turkey October 2026 CPITürkiye Oct 2026 official annual CPI ≤40% (vs 31.75% July) — ~0.933 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-196Switzerland October 2026 CPISwitzerland Oct 2026 headline annual CPI ≤1.5% (vs 0.4% July) — ~0.943 Nov 2026locked 21 Aug 2026Locked
P-149Constellation FY2026 guidance floorConstellation keeps FY2026 adj operating EPS floor ≥$11.50 at Q3 — ~0.884 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-330Saudi Aramco Q3 2026 BASE DIVIDENDSaudi Aramco Q3 2026 BASE DIVIDEND >= SAR 75bn (Q2 base dividend SAR 82.1bn; adj net income rose 33% on the Iran war — we do NOT lock earnings, that is an oil price bet) — ~0.934 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-164Maersk Q3 2026 underlying EBITDAMaersk Q3 2026 underlying EBITDA ≥US$2.2bn (~27% below Q2) — ~0.925 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-175Trade Desk Q3 2026 revenueTrade Desk Q3 2026 revenue ≥$600M (below its own slashed ~$650M guide) — ~0.915 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-177MercadoLibre Q3 2026 revenueMercadoLibre Q3 2026 net revenues ≥$9.5bn (vs $10.17bn in Q2) — ~0.935 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-187Munich Re 9M 2026 net resultMunich Re 9M 2026 group net result ≥€4.8bn (€3.9bn already earned in H1) — ~0.925 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-296Bharti Airtel Q2 FY2027 revenueBharti Airtel Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED REVENUE >= Rs 55,000 crore (Q1 Rs 58,539cr; EBITDA vs EBITDAaL differ ~Rs 3,800cr so revenue is locked) — ~0.925 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-310SBI Q2 FY2027 STANDALONE net profitSBI Q2 FY2027 STANDALONE net profit >= INR 19,000 crore (Q1 standalone INR 21,121cr vs CONSOLIDATED INR 24,113cr — both reported as net profit) — ~0.915 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-178Rheinmetall 9M 2026 salesRheinmetall 9M 2026 consolidated sales ≥€8.0bn (€5.23bn already booked in H1) — ~0.926 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-233Max Healthcare Q2 FY2027 network gross revenueMax Healthcare Q2 FY2027 NETWORK GROSS REVENUE ≥ Rs 2,850 crore (network line, NOT the consolidated line ~Rs 600cr lower) — ~0.946 Nov 2026locked 29 Aug 2026Locked
P-302Titan Q2 FY2027 consolidated total incomeTitan Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED TOTAL INCOME >= Rs 18,000 crore (Q1 Rs 20,753cr on Akshaya Tritiya; jewellery segment Rs 18,253cr sits beside the threshold and is EXCLUDED) — ~0.916 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-327Hero MotoCorp Q2 FY2027 EBITDAHero MotoCorp Q2 FY2027 EBITDA >= INR 1,450 crore (Q1 EBITDA INR 1,727cr; profit reported BOTH down 17% and up 29%; the 14-16% margin band is MEDIUM-TERM, not FY27 guidance) — ~0.906 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-168China October 2026 exportsChina Oct 2026 exports ≥US$300bn (level in USD, not the growth rate) — ~0.937 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-224China October 2026 PPIChina Oct 2026 PPI remains below 0% YoY (deflation persists; anti-thesis half) — ~0.909 Nov 2026locked 27 Aug 2026Locked
P-227China October 2026 CPIChina Oct 2026 headline CPI ≤2.0% YoY (vs 0.5% July) — ~0.949 Nov 2026locked 27 Aug 2026Locked
P-335Power Grid Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED net profitPower Grid Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED net profit >= INR 3,200 crore (Q1 consolidated INR 3,598cr vs standalone INR 3,411cr; income ROSE while profit FELL 0.9%) — ~0.929 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-176Brazil October 2026 IPCABrazil Oct 2026 12-month IPCA ≤5.5% (vs 4.44% July) — ~0.9310 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-318NTPC Q2 FY2027 STANDALONE PATNTPC Q2 FY2027 STANDALONE PAT >= INR 4,800 crore (Q1 standalone INR 5,342cr vs CONSOLIDATED INR 6,896cr; the 9,557 MW FY27 capacity target could not be pinned to a basis) — ~0.9110 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-186Vestas FY2026 margin floorVestas keeps FY2026 EBIT margin floor ≥7% at Q3 (raised from 6-8%) — ~0.8811 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-292Mainfreight H1 FY2027 revenueMainfreight H1 FY2027 group REVENUE >= NZ$2.60bn as reported (LEVEL-anchored — no numeric guidance; FY26 was NZ$5.38bn) — ~0.9111 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-326Tata Steel Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED EBITDATata Steel Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED EBITDA >= INR 6,000 crore (Q1 consolidated INR 9,370cr but India STANDALONE INR 9,409cr — standalone HIGHER; Netherlands EUR 4m on EUR 1.4bn; war cost INR 1,200cr) — ~0.9011 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-185Deutsche Telekom Q3 2026 EBITDAaLDeutsche Telekom Q3 2026 adjusted EBITDAaL ≥€11.2bn (vs €11.8bn in Q2) — ~0.9312 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-208Cisco Q1 FY2027 revenueCisco Q1 FY2027 total revenue ≥$17.5bn (guide $18.0-18.2bn) — ~0.9312 Nov 2026locked 26 Aug 2026Locked
P-211Hon Hai Q3 2026 revenueHon Hai Q3 2026 consolidated revenue ≥NT$2.4tn (floor BELOW Q2, in a quarter guided to grow) — ~0.9412 Nov 2026locked 26 Aug 2026Locked
P-249Siemens FY2026 EPS pre-PPASiemens FY2026 basic EPS PRE-PPA >= EUR 10.70 (the floor held BEFORE the raise to EUR 11.20-11.50; FY ends 30 Sep 2026) — ~0.9412 Nov 2026locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-311Jaguar Land Rover Q2 FY2027 revenueJaguar Land Rover Q2 FY2027 revenue >= GBP 5.0bn (Q1 GBP 6.0bn, wholesales -10%, disclosed supply disruption; Tata Motors Q1 PAT reported as BOTH INR 775cr and INR 900cr) — ~0.8912 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked

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