The Prediction Series
Every lock, and every score.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known, and scored against that exact criterion afterwards — never against a directional impression. Misses are published in full.
345 locks · 80 resolved · 93.75% hit rate · the running scoreboard →
— All
181–240 of 345
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-296 | Bharti Airtel Q2 FY2027 revenueBharti Airtel Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED REVENUE >= Rs 55,000 crore (Q1 Rs 58,539cr; EBITDA vs EBITDAaL differ ~Rs 3,800cr so revenue is locked) — ~0.92 | 5 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-310 | SBI Q2 FY2027 STANDALONE net profitSBI Q2 FY2027 STANDALONE net profit >= INR 19,000 crore (Q1 standalone INR 21,121cr vs CONSOLIDATED INR 24,113cr — both reported as net profit) — ~0.91 | 5 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-178 | Rheinmetall 9M 2026 salesRheinmetall 9M 2026 consolidated sales ≥€8.0bn (€5.23bn already booked in H1) — ~0.92 | 6 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-233 | Max Healthcare Q2 FY2027 network gross revenueMax Healthcare Q2 FY2027 NETWORK GROSS REVENUE ≥ Rs 2,850 crore (network line, NOT the consolidated line ~Rs 600cr lower) — ~0.94 | 6 Nov 2026locked 29 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-302 | Titan Q2 FY2027 consolidated total incomeTitan Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED TOTAL INCOME >= Rs 18,000 crore (Q1 Rs 20,753cr on Akshaya Tritiya; jewellery segment Rs 18,253cr sits beside the threshold and is EXCLUDED) — ~0.91 | 6 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-327 | Hero MotoCorp Q2 FY2027 EBITDAHero MotoCorp Q2 FY2027 EBITDA >= INR 1,450 crore (Q1 EBITDA INR 1,727cr; profit reported BOTH down 17% and up 29%; the 14-16% margin band is MEDIUM-TERM, not FY27 guidance) — ~0.90 | 6 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-168 | China October 2026 exportsChina Oct 2026 exports ≥US$300bn (level in USD, not the growth rate) — ~0.93 | 7 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-224 | China October 2026 PPIChina Oct 2026 PPI remains below 0% YoY (deflation persists; anti-thesis half) — ~0.90 | 9 Nov 2026locked 27 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-227 | China October 2026 CPIChina Oct 2026 headline CPI ≤2.0% YoY (vs 0.5% July) — ~0.94 | 9 Nov 2026locked 27 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-335 | Power Grid Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED net profitPower Grid Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED net profit >= INR 3,200 crore (Q1 consolidated INR 3,598cr vs standalone INR 3,411cr; income ROSE while profit FELL 0.9%) — ~0.92 | 9 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-176 | Brazil October 2026 IPCABrazil Oct 2026 12-month IPCA ≤5.5% (vs 4.44% July) — ~0.93 | 10 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-318 | NTPC Q2 FY2027 STANDALONE PATNTPC Q2 FY2027 STANDALONE PAT >= INR 4,800 crore (Q1 standalone INR 5,342cr vs CONSOLIDATED INR 6,896cr; the 9,557 MW FY27 capacity target could not be pinned to a basis) — ~0.91 | 10 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-186 | Vestas FY2026 margin floorVestas keeps FY2026 EBIT margin floor ≥7% at Q3 (raised from 6-8%) — ~0.88 | 11 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-292 | Mainfreight H1 FY2027 revenueMainfreight H1 FY2027 group REVENUE >= NZ$2.60bn as reported (LEVEL-anchored — no numeric guidance; FY26 was NZ$5.38bn) — ~0.91 | 11 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-326 | Tata Steel Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED EBITDATata Steel Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED EBITDA >= INR 6,000 crore (Q1 consolidated INR 9,370cr but India STANDALONE INR 9,409cr — standalone HIGHER; Netherlands EUR 4m on EUR 1.4bn; war cost INR 1,200cr) — ~0.90 | 11 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-185 | Deutsche Telekom Q3 2026 EBITDAaLDeutsche Telekom Q3 2026 adjusted EBITDAaL ≥€11.2bn (vs €11.8bn in Q2) — ~0.93 | 12 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-208 | Cisco Q1 FY2027 revenueCisco Q1 FY2027 total revenue ≥$17.5bn (guide $18.0-18.2bn) — ~0.93 | 12 Nov 2026locked 26 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-211 | Hon Hai Q3 2026 revenueHon Hai Q3 2026 consolidated revenue ≥NT$2.4tn (floor BELOW Q2, in a quarter guided to grow) — ~0.94 | 12 Nov 2026locked 26 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-249 | Siemens FY2026 EPS pre-PPASiemens FY2026 basic EPS PRE-PPA >= EUR 10.70 (the floor held BEFORE the raise to EUR 11.20-11.50; FY ends 30 Sep 2026) — ~0.94 | 12 Nov 2026locked 2 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-311 | Jaguar Land Rover Q2 FY2027 revenueJaguar Land Rover Q2 FY2027 revenue >= GBP 5.0bn (Q1 GBP 6.0bn, wholesales -10%, disclosed supply disruption; Tata Motors Q1 PAT reported as BOTH INR 775cr and INR 900cr) — ~0.89 | 12 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-234 | Samvardhana Motherson Q2 FY2027 consolidated revenueSamvardhana Motherson Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED revenue from operations ≥ Rs 33,000 crore (Q1 record Rs 35,243.8cr) — ~0.92 | 13 Nov 2026locked 29 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-341 | Apollo Hospitals Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED revenueApollo Hospitals Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED revenue >= INR 6,500 crore (Q1 consolidated INR 7,043cr vs Healthcare Services INR 3,567cr; PAT growth reported as BOTH +34% and +38.4%) — ~0.92 | 13 Nov 2026locked 4 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-342 | Novelis Q2 FY2027 ADJUSTED EBITDANovelis Q2 FY2027 ADJUSTED EBITDA >= US$400m (Q1 US$516m; parent Hindalco group EBITDA INR 14,989cr +73% on record aluminium margins was DECLINED as an LME bet; EBITDA growth reported as both +24% and +37%) — ~0.90 | 13 Nov 2026locked 4 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-281 | Richemont H1 FY2027 salesRichemont H1 FY2027 group SALES >= EUR 11.5bn at actual rates (Q1 alone EUR 6.3bn; LEVEL-anchored — Richemont publishes no guidance) — ~0.92 | 14 Nov 2026locked 2 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-226 | China October 2026 M2 growthChina Oct 2026 M2 growth ≥7.0% YoY (rate not level - levels conflicted) — ~0.93 | 15 Nov 2026locked 27 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-228 | China October 2026 total social financingChina Oct 2026 TSF STOCK growth ≥7.0% YoY (stock not flow) — ~0.93 | 15 Nov 2026locked 27 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-82 | Taylor Swift 2027 Grammy ROTY nom'The Fate of Ophelia' a 2027 Grammy Record of the Year nominee — ~0.92 | 16 Nov 2026locked 24 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-225 | US import prices from China Oct 2026US import price index from China rises YoY in Oct 2026 (pro-thesis half) — ~0.87 | 17 Nov 2026locked 27 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-25 | GTA VI release dateGTA VI ships Nov 19 2026, no further delay — ~0.72 | 19 Nov 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-195 | Japan October 2026 core CPIJapan Oct 2026 core CPI ex-fresh-food ≤3.0% YoY (vs 1.8% July) — ~0.93 | 20 Nov 2026locked 21 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-181 | Deere FY2026 net incomeDeere FY2026 net income ≥$4.2bn (~7% below a raised $4.5-5.0bn guide) — ~0.91 | 25 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-238 | Deere FY2026 net incomeDeere FY2026 NET INCOME ATTRIBUTABLE TO DEERE >= USD 4.5bn (the guidance floor held BEFORE August's raise to USD 4.75bn) — ~0.93 | 25 Nov 2026locked 29 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-241 | Fisher & Paykel Healthcare H1 FY2027 operating revenueF&P Healthcare H1 FY2027 OPERATING REVENUE >= NZ$1.18bn (guides ~NZ$1.24bn; reported NZD, no FX restatement) — ~0.92 | 25 Nov 2026locked 30 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-81 | NOAA 2026 Atlantic storms2026 Atlantic season ends with ≤ 14 named storms — ~0.72 | 30 Nov 2026locked 24 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-153 | CBOT December 2026 cornCBOT Dec-2026 corn settles ≤550c/bu on 1 Dec 2026 (~19% above 462c) — ~0.91 | 1 Dec 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-157 | European TTF gas 1 Dec 2026TTF front-month gas settles ≤€100/MWh on 1 Dec 2026 — ~0.92 | 1 Dec 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-182 | Uranium spot 1 Dec 2026Uranium spot ≤US$130/lb U3O8 on 1 Dec 2026 (spot, not long-term contract) — ~0.92 | 1 Dec 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-199 | Arabica coffee 1 Dec 2026ICE Arabica Coffee C settles ≤500c/lb on 1 Dec 2026 (~16% above the 52-week high) — ~0.92 | 1 Dec 2026locked 21 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-20 | F1 2026 Drivers' title (rest-of-season simulation)Antonelli ~70% champion — 40k-run Monte-Carlo (model 81% / market 61%, disclosed) | 15 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-26 | Avengers: Doomsday opening#1, 3-day domestic opening $200–260M | 21 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-110 | Dune: Part Three openingDune: Part Three domestic 3-day opening ≥ $60M — ~0.78 | 21 Dec 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-203 | Nikkei 225 year-end 2026Nikkei 225 closes 2026 inside 50,000-82,000 (band; direction not predicted) — ~0.92 | 30 Dec 2026locked 25 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-204 | DAX year-end 2026DAX closes 2026 inside 21,000-32,000 (band; correlated with P-198, disclosed) — ~0.92 | 30 Dec 2026locked 25 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-27 | US tariff floor 2026US trade-weighted avg applied tariff stays ≥10% at year-end | 31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-28 | Strategy (MSTR) 1M-BTC targetMSTR holds < 1,000,000 BTC at year-end — ~0.90 | 31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-29 | Bitcoin year-end 2026BTC CME BRR settles < $90,000 on Dec 31 — ~0.85 | 31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-39 | ChatGPT 1B weekly usersOpenAI officially confirms 1B WAU by year-end — ~0.78 | 31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-40 | Kuiper < 1,000 sats on orbitAmazon Kuiper holds < 1,000 satellites on orbit at year-end — ~0.96 | 31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-51 | LMArena #1 modelDec-31 LMArena #1 text model is from OpenAI / Anthropic / Google — ~0.84 | 31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-52 | Nvidia Vera RubinNvidia confirms Vera Rubin sampling/production by year-end — ~0.97 | 31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-53 | Metaplanet 100k-BTC targetMetaplanet holds < 100,000 BTC at year-end — calibrated ~0.88 | 31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-54 | US spot-ETH-ETF flowsUS spot-ETH-ETF cumulative net inflows > 0 at year-end — ~0.96 | 31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-61 | Stablecoin market capTotal stablecoin market cap > $340B at year-end — ~0.82 | 31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-62 | USDT #1 stablecoinUSDT is the #1 stablecoin by market cap at year-end — ~0.98 | 31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-63 | No private-fusion Q>1 in 2026No verified private-fusion scientific Q>1 in 2026 — ~0.96 | 31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-74 | SpaceX Falcon 2026 launchesSpaceX ≥ 120 Falcon-family orbital launches in 2026 | 31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-75 | SpaceX Starship H2 2026 flightSpaceX ≥ 1 integrated Starship test flight in H2 2026 — ~0.97 | 31 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-83 | Gold year-end 2026Gold closes 2026 ≥ $3,500/oz (structural floor) — ~0.95 | 31 Dec 2026locked 24 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-84 | NASA Europa Clipper Earth flybyEuropa Clipper completes its ~Dec 2026 Earth gravity-assist flyby — ~0.96 | 31 Dec 2026locked 24 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-102 | Nifty 50 year-end 2026India Nifty 50 closes 2026 ≥ 22,000 (vs ~24,022 spot) — ~0.80 | 31 Dec 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Locked |