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RAOSCAFF

The Prediction Series

Every lock, and every score.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known, and scored against that exact criterion afterwards — never against a directional impression. Misses are published in full.

345 locks · 80 resolved · 93.75% hit rate · the running scoreboard →

— All

121–180 of 345

RAOSCAFF prediction locks, every lock ever published
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-207Danaher Q3 2026 core growthDanaher Q3 2026 core revenue growth ≥1.0% (guide 2-3%; headline core, not ex-respiratory) — ~0.9220 Oct 2026locked 26 Aug 2026Locked
P-213ABB Q3 2026 revenueABB Q3 2026 total revenue ≥$9.0bn (vs $9.5bn in Q2; orders +28%) — ~0.9320 Oct 2026locked 26 Aug 2026Locked
P-317Axis Bank Q2 FY2027 NET INTEREST INCOMEAxis Bank Q2 FY2027 NET INTEREST INCOME >= INR 13,800 crore (Q1 NII INR 14,646cr; profit +22.5% was driven by provisions FALLING 43.7% while GNPA rose 1.23%→1.28%) — ~0.9220 Oct 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-146UK September 2026 CPIUK Sept 2026 headline CPI ≤3.5% YoY — ~0.9221 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-152BHP Q1 FY2027 iron oreBHP Q1 FY27 WAIO iron ore ≥58Mt BHP-share (~8% below guided pace) — ~0.9121 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-166CME Group Q3 2026 volumeCME Group Q3 2026 average daily volume ≥24M contracts (vs 29.8M in Q2) — ~0.9121 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-212Charles Schwab Q3 2026 revenuesCharles Schwab Q3 2026 total net revenues ≥$6.6bn (vs record $7.07bn in Q2) — ~0.9321 Oct 2026locked 26 Aug 2026Locked
P-160Nucor Q3 2026 steel shipmentsNucor Q3 2026 steel mill shipments ≥6.5M tons (vs record 7.1M in Q2) — ~0.9122 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-161Union Pacific Q3 2026 operating ratioUnion Pacific Q3 2026 reported operating ratio ≤65% (vs 59.7% in Q2) — ~0.9322 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-170GE Aerospace Q3 2026 adj EPSGE Aerospace Q3 2026 adjusted EPS ≥$1.75 (vs $2.02 in Q2) — ~0.9322 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-214Blackstone Q3 2026 AUMBlackstone Q3 2026 TOTAL AUM ≥$1.25tn (not fee-earning AUM) — ~0.9422 Oct 2026locked 26 Aug 2026Locked
P-288Atlas Copco Q3 2026 revenuesAtlas Copco Q3 2026 REVENUES >= SEK 42.0bn (LEVEL-anchored off Q2 SEK 44,974m — the company publishes no numeric guidance) — ~0.9122 Oct 2026locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-305UltraTech Q2 FY2027 consolidated sales volumesUltraTech Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED sales volumes >= 36.0 Mt (Q1 41.31 Mt; domestic 39.2 Mt is 2.1 Mt lower and EXCLUDED; Q2 is the monsoon quarter) — ~0.9022 Oct 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-334Havells India Q2 FY2027 REVENUEHavells India Q2 FY2027 REVENUE FROM OPERATIONS >= INR 5,600 crore (Q1 INR 6,518cr but Q1 is the SUMMER COOLING PEAK — 14% buffer; PAT fell 16.64% on doubled A&P spend) — ~0.9122 Oct 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-215Comcast Q3 2026 adj EBITDAComcast Q3 2026 consolidated adjusted EBITDA ≥$8.3bn (declining broadband base, disclosed) — ~0.9323 Oct 2026locked 26 Aug 2026Locked
P-216IndiGo Q2 FY2027 revenueIndiGo Q2 FY27 revenue from operations ≥₹19,000cr (seasonal trough; revenue not profit) — ~0.9223 Oct 2026locked 26 Aug 2026Locked
P-289ASSA ABLOY Q3 2026 operating marginASSA ABLOY Q3 2026 OPERATING MARGIN >= 16.0% (LEVEL-anchored off a record Q2 17.0%; margin locked because the sales line has four components) — ~0.9123 Oct 2026locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-304Hindustan Unilever Q2 FY2027 EBITDA marginHUL Q2 FY2027 EBITDA MARGIN >= 22.0% (guided 22.5-23.5%; revenue AND the DIRECTION of profit conflict across sources, margin does not) — ~0.9223 Oct 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-329Nestlé India Q2 FY2027 REVENUENestlé India Q2 FY2027 REVENUE >= INR 5,900 crore (Q1 INR 6,378.18cr; +25.16% was the fastest in FORTY quarters — so we lock the LEVEL, not the rate; profit reported as both INR 958.68cr and INR 975cr) — ~0.9223 Oct 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-222SBI Life Q2 FY2027 APESBI Life Q2 FY27 APE ≥₹4,800cr (quarter alone; APE not GWP or VoNB) — ~0.9324 Oct 2026locked 27 Aug 2026Locked
P-232Dr Reddy's Q2 FY2027 revenue from operationsDr Reddy's Q2 FY2027 CONSOLIDATED revenue from operations ≥ Rs 7,400 crore (LEVEL locked — sources conflict on the YoY rate) — ~0.9324 Oct 2026locked 29 Aug 2026Locked
P-150Chubb Q3 2026 combined ratioChubb Q3 2026 P&C combined ratio ≤95% (vs 83.8% in Q2) — ~0.9027 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-158Royal Caribbean Q3 2026 adj EPSRoyal Caribbean Q3 2026 adjusted EPS ≥$5.00 (peak quarter; Q2 was $4.21) — ~0.9327 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-171WM Q3 2026 adjusted EBITDAWM Q3 2026 adjusted operating EBITDA ≥$1.95bn (vs $2.067bn in Q2) — ~0.9327 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-188First Solar Q3 2026 module salesFirst Solar Q3 2026 module sales ≥3.5GW (~10% below its own guide) — ~0.9227 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-209Reckitt FY2026 Core LFL floorReckitt keeps FY2026 Core LFL guidance floor ≥4% at Q3 (Core, not group LFL) — ~0.8827 Oct 2026locked 26 Aug 2026Locked
P-219HSBC 9M 2026 revenueHSBC 9M 2026 constant-currency revenue ex-notables ≥$54bn ($38.2bn booked in H1) — ~0.9327 Oct 2026locked 27 Aug 2026Locked
P-256POSCO Q3 2026 crude steel productionPOSCO Q3 2026 CRUDE STEEL PRODUCTION >= 8.4 Mt (Q2 8,884kt at 89.5% util; NOT product sales volume, 527kt lower) — ~0.9127 Oct 2026locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-148UPS Q3 2026 consolidated revenueUPS Q3 2026 consolidated revenue ≥$21.0bn (~8% below Q2) — ~0.9328 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-156Australia Sept-quarter 2026 CPIAustralia Sept-qtr 2026 headline CPI ≤4.5% YoY (vs 3.8% June qtr) — ~0.9128 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-191PayPal Q3 2026 payment volumePayPal Q3 2026 total payment volume ≥$460bn (vs $486.4bn in Q2) — ~0.9328 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-239Visa fiscal Q4 2026 net revenueVisa fiscal Q4 2026 NET REVENUE (after client incentives) >= USD 11.0bn — ~0.9428 Oct 2026locked 29 Aug 2026Locked
P-78Eli Lilly incretin franchise Q3 2026Mounjaro + Zepbound worldwide Q3 2026 revenue > $14.0B — ~0.8829 Oct 2026locked 23 Jun 2026Locked
P-173S&P Global Q3 2026 adj EPSS&P Global Q3 2026 adjusted EPS ≥$3.80 (vs $4.08 in Q2, which missed consensus) — ~0.9229 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-174Linde Q3 2026 adj EPSLinde Q3 2026 adjusted EPS ≥$4.20 (vs $4.50 in Q2) — ~0.9329 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-190Universal Music Q3 2026 revenueUniversal Music Q3 2026 total revenue ≥€3.0bn (vs €3.294bn in Q2) — ~0.9329 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-192Newmont Q3 2026 gold productionNewmont Q3 2026 attributable gold production ≥1.20M oz (vs 1.3M in Q2) — ~0.9229 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-105Copper end-October 2026LME copper closes end-Oct 2026 ≥ $9,000/t — ~0.9230 Oct 2026locked 25 Jun 2026Locked
P-231Holcim nine-month 2026 net salesHolcim 9M 2026 group NET SALES ≥ CHF 11.5bn (H1 CHF 7.9bn; FY guidance upgraded) — ~0.9330 Oct 2026locked 29 Aug 2026Locked
P-298Maruti Suzuki Q2 FY2027 sales volumesMaruti Suzuki Q2 FY2027 TOTAL SALES VOLUMES >= 620,000 units (Q1 682,724; rupee revenue AND profit both conflict across sources so VOLUMES are locked) — ~0.9130 Oct 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-314Samsung DS Division Q3 2026 operating profitSamsung DS Division Q3 2026 operating profit >= KRW 60tn (Q2 DS KRW 89.2tn of a GROUP KRW 89.5tn — the mobile unit LOST KRW 0.7tn; calibration correction to P-106) — ~0.9130 Oct 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-73BitMine ETH treasuryBitMine disclosed ETH holdings ≥ 6,000,000 by Oct 31 — ~0.9031 Oct 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Locked
P-210AIA Q3 2026 year-to-date VONBAIA year-to-date VONB ≥US$4.4bn at Q3 2026 (VONB, not annualised new premium) — ~0.9231 Oct 2026locked 26 Aug 2026Locked
P-163South Korea October 2026 exportsSouth Korea Oct 2026 exports ≥US$70bn (level, not the base-effect growth rate) — ~0.931 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-172India October 2026 GSTIndia Oct 2026 gross GST ≥₹1.90 lakh crore (gross, not net of refunds) — ~0.931 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-223Muthoot Q2 FY2027 loan AUMMuthoot Q2 FY27 consolidated TOTAL loan AUM ≥₹1.95 lakh crore (not gold-only, not standalone) — ~0.941 Nov 2026locked 27 Aug 2026Locked
P-60ARC Prize 2026 Grand Prize2026 ARC Prize Grand Prize unclaimed (ARC-AGI-2) — ~0.822 Nov 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Locked
P-194Indonesia October 2026 CPIIndonesia Oct 2026 headline annual CPI ≤4.0% (vs 2.88% July) — ~0.932 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-24US 2026 midterms — SenateRepublicans retain the Senate — calibrated ~0.543 Nov 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Locked
P-44US House 2026 — DemocratsDemocrats win US House majority (≥218) — calibrated ~0.763 Nov 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Locked
P-169Marriott Q3 2026 RevPARMarriott Q3 2026 worldwide RevPAR growth ≥+1.0% (vs +3.4% in Q2) — ~0.913 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-180Ryanair H1 FY2027 trafficRyanair H1 FY27 traffic ≥110M passengers (guided metric; profit guidance withdrawn) — ~0.933 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-183Turkey October 2026 CPITürkiye Oct 2026 official annual CPI ≤40% (vs 31.75% July) — ~0.933 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-196Switzerland October 2026 CPISwitzerland Oct 2026 headline annual CPI ≤1.5% (vs 0.4% July) — ~0.943 Nov 2026locked 21 Aug 2026Locked
P-149Constellation FY2026 guidance floorConstellation keeps FY2026 adj operating EPS floor ≥$11.50 at Q3 — ~0.884 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-330Saudi Aramco Q3 2026 BASE DIVIDENDSaudi Aramco Q3 2026 BASE DIVIDEND >= SAR 75bn (Q2 base dividend SAR 82.1bn; adj net income rose 33% on the Iran war — we do NOT lock earnings, that is an oil price bet) — ~0.934 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-164Maersk Q3 2026 underlying EBITDAMaersk Q3 2026 underlying EBITDA ≥US$2.2bn (~27% below Q2) — ~0.925 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-175Trade Desk Q3 2026 revenueTrade Desk Q3 2026 revenue ≥$600M (below its own slashed ~$650M guide) — ~0.915 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-177MercadoLibre Q3 2026 revenueMercadoLibre Q3 2026 net revenues ≥$9.5bn (vs $10.17bn in Q2) — ~0.935 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-187Munich Re 9M 2026 net resultMunich Re 9M 2026 group net result ≥€4.8bn (€3.9bn already earned in H1) — ~0.925 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked

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