The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 48 of 345 ·Hit ×United States ×Clear all
July 20266 locks resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-97 | JPMorgan Q2 2026 net incomeJPMorgan Q2 2026 net income ≥ $12bn — ~0.88HIT - JPMorgan Q2 net income $21.2bn reported ($16.9bn ex-items), >=$12bn.United States | 14 Jul 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-107 | Boeing H1 2026 deliveriesBoeing H1 2026 commercial deliveries ≥ 285 — ~0.91HIT - Boeing H1 commercial deliveries 314, >=285 (best first half since 2018).United States | 14 Jul 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-120 | Goldman Sachs Q2 2026 net revenueGoldman Sachs Q2 2026 net revenue ≥ $14.0bn (vs ~$15.7bn consensus) — ~0.92HIT - Goldman Sachs Q2 net revenue $20.34bn, >=$14.0bn.United States | 14 Jul 2026locked 26 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-131 | Delta Air Lines Q2 2026 EPSDelta Q2 2026 EPS ≥ $0.75 (vs $1.00–1.50 guide) — ~0.85HIT - Delta Q2 adjusted EPS $1.56 (GAAP $2.44), >=$0.75.United States | 10 Jul 2026locked 26 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-118 | PepsiCo Q2 2026 organic growthPepsiCo Q2 2026 organic revenue growth ≥1% — ~0.87HIT - PepsiCo Q2 organic revenue growth +2.4%, >=1%.United States | 9 Jul 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-11 | 2026 Emmy nominationsThe Bear ≥ 1 major comedy nominationHIT - The Bear earned an Outstanding Comedy Series nomination (25 total noms).United States | 8 Jul 2026locked 20 Jun 2026 | Hit |
June 20262 locks resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-65 | Micron FQ3 2026 revenueMicron FQ3 2026 revenue ≥ $32.75B (guide floor)HIT - Micron fiscal-Q3 revenue $41.5bn, >=$32.75bn (record, +346% YoY on the AI-memory boom).United States | 24 Jun 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-01 | US CPI energy commodities (May print)+39.65% YoY, band [+33.4%, +43.5%]HIT — locked +39.65% [33.4–43.5%]; energy-commodities printed ~+40% (gasoline +40.5%, the dominant component), inside the band, ~1pt from the point. Scored against energy-COMMODITIES, not the broad energy index (+23.5%, a different series).United States | 10 Jun 2026locked 26 May 2026 | Hit |